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usd/chf Technicals

Tuesday, 06 January 2009 16:09:07 GMT

Swiss Franc Technical Outlook

By Jamie Saettele, Senior Currency Strategist

usd/chf Fundamentals

Monday, 22 December 2008 20:06:59 GMT

US Dollar/Swiss Franc Exchange Rate Forecast

By Jamie Saettele, Senior Strategist; David Rodriguez, Quantitative Analyst; Ilya Spivak, Currency Analyst
Central Bank Interest
Central Bank Calendar
EURJPYGBPAUDCADNZDCHF  

Swiss Franc (CHF)

ico-clock Current Time - Geneva: 10:46 PM | EST: 4:46 PM | GMT: 9:46 PM


SENTIMENT AND POSITIONING
SSI Positioning

USD/CHF ratio: 1.13
Trading Forecast: Bearish


Full Article
COT Positioning

CHF: The 13 week index has rolled over and the percentage of commercial traders that are long has fallen significantly in recent weeks.


Full Article
FUNDAMENTALS — THIS WEEKS ECONOMIC RELEASES
Most Recent Economic Releases Forecast Previous
CHF SVME-Purchasing Managers Index (DEC) 35.0 35.2
CHF Consumer Price Index (MoM) (DEC) -0.4% -0.7%
CHF Consumer Price Index (YoY) (DEC) -0.9% 1.5%
CHF Unemployment Rate (DEC) 2.9% 2.7%
CHF Unemployment Rate s.a. (DEC) 2.8% 2.7%


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Technicals - Support and Resistance for CHF
Support and Resistance Levels Interest Rate Outlook
Key Levels Strength Comments Timeframe Target
R4 1.1559 High 50-Day SMA Benchmark 0.50
R3 1.1500 Weak Psychological Resistance
R2 1.1383 High 100-Day SMA 1 Week 0.300
R1 1.1316 High 50.0% Fibo 1.2252 - 1.0371 1 Month 0.344
S1 1.1037 Weak 20-Day SMA 3 Month 0.667
S2 1.1000 Weak Psychological Support 6 Month 0.820
S3 1.0869 High 200-Day SMA 9 Month 0.960
S4 1.0613 Medium 1/1 Low 1 Year 1.107
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FROM THE CENTRAL BANK
  Central Bank: Swiss National Bank
  Current Bias: Dovish
  Current Interest Rate: 0.50%
  Last Change: 12/11/2008 cut 50bp
  Next Meeting: 03/12/2009  More Dates
Latest Swiss National Bank Interest Rate Outlook
 

Central Bank Governor: Jean-Pierre Roth

Current Voting Members: Jean-Pierre Roth, Philipp Hildebrand, Thomas Jordan